I read article that is really quite scary. But I want to reiterate,
Danville and Vermilion County are not seeing the same effects as the national numbers. Will the slow market continue? I am not a fortune tell nor do I aspire to the job. But but when you read
articles like this, I ask you to think and not accept everything at face value.
We are seeing a modest gain in transactions, but that doesn't necessarily mean, the end is at hand for the slump in our area. As jobs are added to the area, we will see even more improvement. May and the early days of June have been seeing homes sell at a much brisker pace than last year for the same time. But, we are still down for the year to date (a
little over 14%). While the last six weeks are a nice change, it's still to early to say the end is at hand.
The picture with selling price is a little different. We continue to see price declines of less than 1%. Our year to date figure is around 3/4% compared with last year.
Days on market continue to be high. The bankers told us in March and April that stricter guidelines on a lot of fronts are adding to processing and underwriting times. One lender suggested the net effect early on might be adding 30 days to the time to close. Averages seem to be running closer to 45 day for conventional mortgage and 60 Days for FHA. These figures are about 2 weeks longer than we have seen in recent years. My personal experience is that I am seeing more FHA buyers than in the past couple of years as well. Both then, have the net effect of increasing our days on market.
But the increase is more than these changes would predict. The reason: homes are still being priced too high. When we examine the selling price verses the listing price at time of sale, we are see 3-4% lower ratios than in past years. It gets worse when we compare the original list prices.
A couple of other considerations. The numbers I cited are averages. The market is more variable than we might expect for the small area we cover. But sales trends vary significantly from
Hoopeston to
Georgetown. Other variations can be seen based on the value of your home.
Months of inventory on hand is higher as the home value goes up. There just are the number of high end buyers out there that there were two years ago. If you want to know about specific school district and price ranges, ask your Realtor(r), or give me a call. I will be happy to research the specifics and let you know.
Any one who claims to tell you what is happening in
Danville while they sit behind a desk in New York, is lying. Any one who tells you what tomorrow will bring, is trying to make headlines.
When we allow the mass media to control what we believe is the truth, then their doom and gloom stories become self-fulfilling prophesies.
Remember, if you want to know about
Danville real estate trends, check out our blog page.